In my unceasing quest to finally break the code that is the NCAA Tournament bracket (which will never happen BTW) I did some research on what I believe are 6 of the most important factors in a team winning the national championship. I narrowed my investigation down to the 9 teams that I feel can win the title.

The 6 factors I isolated are Experience, Star caliber players, Coaching, Guard play, preseason ranking and balance. Some of this evaluation is of course subjective but I used analytics and facts where they were available.

Ranking every team 1-9 in all 6 categories gave me a composite “final score” as to who the most complete is. Maybe it will help you, maybe it won’t. But I feel it is interesting nonetheless!

Enjoy the madness!


A. Experience in starting 5

1. UNC- 3 Sr, 2 Jr,

2. Gonzaga 2Sr. 2Jr,

3. Kansas- 2 Sr, 2 Jr,

4. UCLA 2 Sr. 1 Jr

5. Oregon- 1 Sr, 2 Jr,

6. Nova 2 Sr. 3 Soph,

7. Duke 2 Sr.

8. Arizona 1Sr. 1Jr.

9. Kent- 1 Soph


B- Stars- How many NBAdraft.net players do you have in the next 2 mock NBA drafts? (projected selection in parenthesis)

1. Kentucky- 5 (5, 8, 19, 12, 41),

2. UCLA- 5 (2, 13, 15, 16, 43),

3. Duke 5 (7, 12, 24, 23, 30),

4. Kansas- 5 (3, 38, 26, 31, 53),

5. Arizona 4- (10, 40, 19, 32),

6. UNC-3 (25, 29, 47)

7. Gonzaga- 3 (14, 36, 8),

8. Villanova 3- (32, 35, 40)

9. Oregon 3-(42, 44, 45),


C. Coaching- How many NCAA tournament wins does your coach have?

1. Duke- 90

2. UNC- 70,

3. Kentucky-

4. Kansas- 40,

5. Gonzaga 21,

6. Villanova- 20,

7. Arizona-17,

8. Oregon- 9-

9. UCLA- 8


D- Guards- Bold indicates All Conference team. * indicates Wooden candidate

1. Kansas- Mason*, Graham, Jackson*

2. Villanova- Hart*, Brunson, Jenkins

3. Kentucky- Fox*, Monk*, Briscoe

4. Duke- Jackson, Jones, Kennard* 

5. Oregon- Brooks*, Ennis, Dorsey

6. Gonzaga- Goss*, Matthews, Perkins

7. UCLA- Ball*, Alford

8. Ari- Trier, Allen

9. UNC- Berry* 


5. Preseason ranking- AP

1. Duke,

2. Kansas,

3. Villanova,

4. Kentucky,

5. Oregon,

6. UNC,

11. Arizona,

13. Gonzaga,

20. UCLA,


6. Balance-KenPom ranking of (offensive efficiency, defensive efficiency)

1. Gonzaga 10, 2

2. Villanova 2, 12

3. Kentucky 14, 9

4. UNC- 4, 25

5. Kansas- 9, 30

6. Oregon 19, 22

7. Duke- 6, 39

8. Arizona- 20, 28

9. UCLA- 3, 78


Total- All rankings and total

1. Kansas- 3, 4, 4, 1, 2, 5= 19

2. Duke- 7, 3, 1, 4, 1, 7= 23

2. Kentucky- 9, 1, 3, 3, 4, 3= 23

4. Villanova- 6, 8, 6, 2, 3, 2= 27

5. UNC- 1, 6, 2, 9, 6, 4= 28

6. Gonzaga- 2, 7, 5, 6, 8, 1= 29

7. Oregon- 5, 9, 8, 5, 5, 6= 38

8. UCLA- 4, 2, 9, 7, 9, 9= 40

9. Arizona- 8, 5, 7, 8, 7, 8= 43